written by Nick Frisch for Foreign Affairs
China’s leaders are attentive students of Soviet history, and the Bolsheviks and the Soviet state they built are both a model and a cautionary tale for the Chinese Communist Party. Memories of the Soviet collapse—the trauma of toppled statues, indigent apparatchiks, and secret archives opened to public scrutiny—steel party leaders’ determination to retain power.
Yet the secretive vanguard that sits atop Chinese politics remains recognizably Leninist today, as do the party, security, and propaganda organs that enforce its will. Although the newest members of the Standing Committee are more likely to tweak interest rates or adjust soy imports than to order the liquidation of landlords, the party’s sense of destiny, of an absolute right to reach down and change the course of China’s history, is intact. Its rejection of liberal democracy is born not only of Chinese chauvinism but also of a Leninist contempt for bourgeois niceties such as the rule of law, freedom of conscience, and individual dignity. In the party’s eyes, this ideology is a tool: like railways or the military, it has been successfully Sinified and now serves China better than it ever did the Soviet Union.
For Xi, an institutionalist whose father was a senior cadre, reasserting the party’s control over society represents a natural return to its Leninist roots. Over the past half decade, Xi has appointed himself chair of the party committees overseeing many key portfolios, including cybersecurity and economic reform, sidelining the government functionaries who traditionally fill such roles. He has toured newsrooms and television studios, bluntly reminding media organs that “your surname is Party” and that their loyalty must be absolute. The security services have launched the harshest crackdown on civil society in a generation, complete with televised confessions and florid denunciations of conspirators in the People’s Daily, a party newspaper. Over the next week, Xi will help select the next generation of party leaders and may write his own “thought” into the party constitution, as Mao did in 1945. His choices could reveal whether he intends to remain in power beyond the ten-year term customary for Chinese leaders.
Facing the Great Hall of the People, across the vast expanse of Tiananmen Square, sits the National Museum of China. The Road to Rejuvenation, its main permanent exhibit, was the site of Xi’s first public appearance after taking power at the last party congress, in 2012, and the place where he unveiled his signature slogan, “the Chinese Dream.” The exhibit’s account of China’s history begins with ancient greatness, moves through decline and colonial humiliation, and then climbs inexorably upward, in an arc that any Bolshevik would recognize. But the destination has changed: instead of a borderless proletarian paradise, Xi’s “Chinese Dream” promises to restore a once mighty civilization to its rightful glory under party rule. This mix of native-soil nationalism and iron discipline is an attractive alternative to representative democracy for ambitious authoritarians around the world, from Turkey to the Philippines. In China’s model, many see a shining future of their own.