IRAN IS DANGEROUS

Iran has been threatening its neighbors, exporting a brutal brand of terrorism, and using its benefactors in the U.N. to play for time while it develops nuclear weapons. The game might soon end.

by Mullah D for The International Chronicles Translated and Edited by Alexander Ackley

 

The Iranian regime has for many years played a treacherous cat and mouse game with the western world.  It has purposely provoked the world’s democratic states and risked conflict with the West, even while facing the crushing consequences of sanctions and the possibility of an annihilating military strike on its nuclear facilities. Iran expertly plays for time and knows very well how to exploit the geopolitical power games between the established nuclear powers for its own advantage.

Iran consciously pursues an international campaign of provocation against the USA and Europe and a policy of direct aggression against Israel.  It does this knowing that an act of military aggression from any of those states would immediately give Iran victim status in the eyes of much of the world.  Sanctions against Iran will be ineffective, because the Iranian economy maintains extensive economic ‘agreements’ with many totalitarian states sympathetic to its tactics and oppressive politics, particularly in the energy and military sectors.  These states have back channels in place to funnel goods and services into Iran while circumventing any sanction regime that the Western powers might impose.  There are myriad camouflage companies in place in Dubai and other such global trade hubs that can easily supply the Iranian regime with much of its essential energy and military necessities.  Sanctions against Iran would only be effective if all border-crossings were tightly sealed by a military force and a naval blockade closed all its sea routes.

However perverse it may sound, a much more interesting scenario for Iran would be a military strike against its nuclear facilities.  Principally, this scenario would be exploited as an excuse to immediately re-arm by stepping-up purchases of weapons systems and military equipment from Veto-Powers China and Russia, thus hastening and even justifying the country’s descent into full-blown military dictatorship.  China and Russia have historically profited greatly from Iran’s wars, and this could be their biggest windfall.  Knowing that Russian and Chinese vetoes could push this fragile situation into a bloody war by negating the possibility of effective sanctions, one could easily accuse these states of having a vested interest in Iran being attacked (and going to war) against the West.  

Nevertheless, NATO must intervene militarily in spite of the vetoes from China and Russia, even if this badly damages the relations between the established nuclear powers.  The severe short-term political, social, and economic damage that would ensue from an attack on Iran, are considerations overridden by the dangers of an atomic Iran for world peace and the possibility of sparking a suicidal new arms race in the Middle East.  That scenario is unacceptable.

If Iran gains possession of atomic warheads with suitable rocket technology, the current regime, with its religious fanatics and suicidal mythologies, is certain to attempt to re-write history and to annihilate the state of Israel with an atom bomb.  Nearly as gruesome is the scenario of an nuclear Iran pursuing a policy of worldwide state terrorism.


A military blow against Iran is unavoidable

 A military blow against Iran is unavoidable.  But this action must not only destroy the ability of Iran to develop a nuclear weapons program, it must above all ensure a change of regime, and secure the guarantee that no worldwide terrorist network(s) will again be financed, trained, and unleashed upon the world by Iran.  An internal consequence of this action must be that further oppression of Iran’s people is prevented and a real movement away from repressive Theocracy and toward representative democracy is allowed.  The forceful removal of the current Mullah regime in Iran with a comprehensive military blow would also have the following signal effects:

1. The construction of an atom bomb would no longer be desirable, necessary, nor feasible!
  

  • A loss of power for Iran’s dictatorial Theocratic regime would cause other nuclear-weapons-seeking totalitarian states to be strongly discouraged from pursuing an atom bomb or developing military nuclear technology.

2. Shiite Fundamentalism would be bankrupted as a viable state-sponsored ideology!
                                              

  • The political loss of power of the religious fanatics in Shiite Iran would mean that the dominant financier of Shiite state-sponsored-terrorism would disappear. This could also be a warning signal to the financial Godfathers of Sunni-Islam state-sponsored terrorism that their days are numbered.

3. An end to China and Russia’s cynical blockade / veto-power-policy in the UN Security Council!
                                              

  • China and Russia would no longer have the ability to protect the actions of their repressive client-states, nor prevent sanctions against them by the U.N. Security Council through their veto-power, but would be forced by events and the resurgent political tide toward democratic freedom to negotiate sincerely with NATO about a new general disarmament policy.  New superpower China would be confronted with the limits of its often provocative and uncooperative foreign policy, thus affecting China’s behaviour on the international stage.  China would come to the realization that a confrontation with the West would be a catastrophic consequence of its intransigence.  Thus another potentially threatening scenario to world peace would be neutralized.

 

The U.N. and NATO must re-define their role in international politics. NATO must reform and reinvent itself and become a bulwark for democracy, human rights, as well as a force against the proliferation of nuclear weapons. NATO must cease neutralizing and negating its mandate through its bureaucratic internal structures. Instead it must have the courage to define itself anew and to stand as a force for a nuclear-free world, and to actively pursue a disarmament policy so that non-NATO states are discouraged from pursuing a policy of nuclear militarization.

The perilous danger posed by a nuclear-armed Iran must be dealt with directly and forthrightly.  There will undoubtedly be grave consequences – short-term economic crises as well as tensions between the nuclear powers – nevertheless the repercussions pale in comparison to the specter of an aggressive, nuclear-armed Iran on the prowl, instigating a deadly atomic-arms race in its neighborhood and threatening the Middle East with nuclear Armageddon.

                      


 

MULLAH D is a dissident Mullah from Tehran, Iran who wishes to inform people that Islam can be peace-loving and modern, and that Islam and the West can co-exist in harmony, respect and freedom of expression.

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published this page in The Attic 2012-03-26 03:52:00 -0400